ThreeBearsBalancedWithText_
fund_comments
[discount_rates_problem] [outcomes] [fund_development] [fund_comments]
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It will be seen from the chart that the fund tends to run away beyond the desired outcome. That implies that the initial discount rate was too low for budgeting purposes which is our target. Simplicity is harder than it looks (formally known as the “Dolly Parton lemma”). The return multiples were based upon actual experience and seem reasonable to me but they are not that significant.